Election prediction market odds
Election markets Crossbook tracks, with both venues' prices side by side wherever Kalshi and Polymarket each list the question. Where they disagree, the gap only means something if the two contracts settle the same way, so every page says whether that has been checked.
Most active
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PM 16% · KS 17%
- Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PM 1% · KS 1%
- Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PM 1% · KS 1%
- Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PM 1% · KS 1%
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PM 14% · KS 14%
Recently added
- Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?PM 83%
- Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?PM 1% · KS 1%
- Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?PM 2% · KS 2%
- Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?PM 3% · KS 3%
- Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?PM 1% · KS 3%
Settled
Every Crossbook forecast is timestamped before the answer is known and scored afterwards, whether it was right or not. See the public record and the rules.