Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
Crossbook compares what two exchanges, Polymarket and Kalshi, charge for the same event, and publishes a permanent scored record of its own forecasts under published rules.
Settlement equivalence unverified. No eligible price gap is available.
Bid/ask midpoint · retrieved 2026-09-07T23:55:28.141Z. Venue quote-update time is unavailable. Readings can be asynchronous.
97.9%bid 97.8% / ask 98.0%24h volume $21K · liquidity $26Kas of 7 Sept, 23:55 UTC · not refreshed recentlyView on PolymarketBid/ask midpoint · retrieved 2026-09-08T23:30:28.042Z. Venue quote-update time is unavailable. Readings can be asynchronous.
99.4%bid 99.1% / ask 99.8%24h volume $142K · liquidity –as of 8 Sept, 23:30 UTC · not refreshed recentlyView this market's series on KalshiHow each venue defines this
Each exchange's own settlement text, quoted as written. Where they differ, the difference is usually why the prices do.
These two contracts name settlement dates 57 days apart. Read both terms below for why: a later date can mean a different condition, a longer deadline or an administrative delay, and only the terms say which.
Settles Sep 8, 26
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Settles Nov 3, 26
If Chris Pappas wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Class II New Hampshire Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement basis
Settlement equivalence unverified
A person confirmed these two markets ask the same question. Their settlement documents have not been compared, so treat the price difference as unverified rather than as a like for like gap.
Confirmed as the same question: Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
Price, last 60 days
Crossbook forecast
No public Crossbook forecast on this market yet. Every call that is made is timestamped and scored on the public record, win or lose.
Context
Settlement equivalence unverified. The venue readings below are not ranked as a comparable price gap.
Volume over the last 24 hours is active, at about $142,427 on the busier venue.
This market has settled. The page is kept as a record of what both venues said while the question was open, and of what Crossbook called.
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