Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?

Crossbook compares what two exchanges, Polymarket and Kalshi, charge for the same event, and publishes a permanent scored record of its own forecasts under published rules.

Settlement equivalence unverified. No eligible price gap is available.

TradingContract settles 3 Nov 2026Last checked 1 Oct 2026, 00:20 UTC

Bid/ask midpoint · retrieved 2026-10-01T00:20:26.821Z. Venue quote-update time is unavailable. Readings can be asynchronous.

48.5%bid 48.0% / ask 49.0%24h volume $697 · liquidity $73Kas of 1 Oct, 00:20 UTCView on Polymarket

Bid/ask midpoint · retrieved 2026-10-01T00:20:30.231Z. Venue quote-update time is unavailable. Readings can be asynchronous.

52.5%bid 52.0% / ask 53.0%24h volume $3K · liquidity –as of 1 Oct, 00:20 UTCView the event containing this market on Kalshi

How each venue defines this

Each exchange's own settlement text, quoted as written. Where they differ, the difference is usually why the prices do.

These two contracts name settlement dates about 2 months apart. Read both terms below for why: a later date can mean a different condition, a longer deadline or an administrative delay, and only the terms say which.

Settles Nov 3, 26

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event th…

Settles Jan 14, 27

If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Georgia pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement basis

Settlement equivalence unverified

A person confirmed these two markets ask the same question. Their settlement documents have not been compared, so treat the price difference as unverified rather than as a like for like gap.

This pair was once marked equivalent without the clauses that would show it, so it is shown as unverified until it is reviewed.

Confirmed as the same question: Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?

Crossbook forecast

No public Crossbook forecast on this market yet. Every call that is made is timestamped and scored on the public record, win or lose.

Context

Settlement equivalence unverified. The venue readings below are not ranked as a comparable price gap.

Volume over the last 24 hours is modest, at about $3,409 on the busier venue. It closes in about 33 days, which is near enough that a single scheduled event can move it.

Related markets

Crossbook publishes every forecast it makes, timestamped before the answer is known and scored against the market afterwards. See the public record and the rules it is held to.