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Will Rick Devens win Big Brother season 28?

Crossbook compares what two exchanges, Polymarket and Kalshi, charge for the same event, and publishes a permanent scored record of its own forecasts under published rules.

Settlement equivalence unverified. No eligible price gap is available.

TradingContract settles 1 Oct 2026Last checked 1 Oct 2026, 00:10 UTC
PM

Bid/ask midpoint · retrieved 2026-10-01T00:15:28.873Z. Venue quote-update time is unavailable. Readings can be asynchronous.

46.9%bid 44.3% / ask 49.4%24h volume $1K · liquidity $741as of 1 Oct, 00:15 UTCView on Polymarket
KS

Bid/ask midpoint · retrieved 2026-10-01T00:10:30.385Z. Venue quote-update time is unavailable. Readings can be asynchronous.

49.0%bid 48.0% / ask 50.0%24h volume $25K · liquidity –as of 1 Oct, 00:10 UTCView the event containing this market on Kalshi

How each venue defines this

Each exchange's own settlement text, quoted as written. Where they differ, the difference is usually why the prices do.

These two contracts name settlement dates about 3 months apart. Read both terms below for why: a later date can mean a different condition, a longer deadline or an administrative delay, and only the terms say which.

Settles Oct 1, 26

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Big Brother season 28. If Big Brother season 28 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Big Brother season 28 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Big Brother season 28.

Settles Dec 31, 26

If Rick Devens are officially declared the winner of Big Brother Season 28, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement basis

Settlement equivalence unverified

A person confirmed these two markets ask the same question. Their settlement documents have not been compared, so treat the price difference as unverified rather than as a like for like gap.

This pair was once marked equivalent without the clauses that would show it, so it is shown as unverified until it is reviewed.

Confirmed as the same question: Will Rick Devens win Big Brother season 28?

Crossbook forecast

No public Crossbook forecast on this market yet. Every call that is made is timestamped and scored on the public record, win or lose.

Context

Settlement equivalence unverified. The venue readings below are not ranked as a comparable price gap.

Volume over the last 24 hours is modest, at about $24,841 on the busier venue. It closes in 1 day. Prices this close to resolution move on news rather than on reassessment.

Related markets

Crossbook publishes every forecast it makes, timestamped before the answer is known and scored against the market afterwards. See the public record and the rules it is held to.