Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Crossbook compares what two exchanges, Polymarket and Kalshi, charge for the same event, and publishes a permanent scored record of its own forecasts under published rules.
Settlement equivalence unverified. No eligible price gap is available.
Data may be delayed. These prices have not refreshed recently, so treat them as a last known reading rather than a current quote.
Bid/ask midpoint · retrieved 2026-09-29T17:45:27.452Z. Venue quote-update time is unavailable. Readings can be asynchronous.
19.9%bid 19.6% / ask 20.1%24h volume $21K · liquidity $96Kas of 29 Sept, 17:45 UTC · not refreshed recentlyView on PolymarketBid/ask midpoint · retrieved 2026-10-29T20:00:36.521Z. Venue quote-update time is unavailable. Readings can be asynchronous.
20.0%bid 19.0% / ask 21.0%24h volume $6Kas of 29 Oct, 20:00 UTC · not refreshed recentlyView the event containing this market on KalshiHow each venue defines this
Each exchange's own settlement text, quoted as written. Where they differ, the difference is usually why the prices do.
These two contracts name settlement dates about 6 months apart. Read both terms below for why: a later date can mean a different condition, a longer deadline or an administrative delay, and only the terms say which.
Settles Jul 1, 27
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information…
Settles Jan 1, 28
If Ulf Kristersson becomes Prime Minister of Sweden as a result of government formation following the 2026 Swedish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement equivalence unverified
A person confirmed these two markets ask the same question. Their settlement documents have not been compared, so treat the price difference as unverified rather than as a like for like gap.
Confirmed as the same question: Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Price, last 60 days
Crossbook forecast
No public Crossbook forecast on this market yet. Every call that is made is timestamped and scored on the public record, win or lose.
Settlement equivalence unverified. The venue readings below are not ranked as a comparable price gap.
Volume over the last 24 hours is modest, at about $20,979 on the busier venue.
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