Will Team Yandex win BLAST Slam VIII?

Crossbook compares what two exchanges, Polymarket and Kalshi, charge for the same event, and publishes a permanent scored record of its own forecasts under published rules.

Tracked on one venue, with Crossbook's own call on the record.

SettledContract settles 13 Oct 2026Last checked 11 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC

Bid/ask midpoint · retrieved 2026-10-11T19:45:27.186Z. Venue quote-update time is unavailable. Readings can be asynchronous.

93.1%bid 92.2% / ask 94.0%24h volume $27K · liquidity $230as of 11 Oct, 19:45 UTC · not refreshed recentlyView on Polymarket

Price, last 60 days

Crossbook forecast

44.0%against a market price of 47.0% at the timeYES
Logged 10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Brier 0.3136
- Yandex has reached the upper-bracket final (Oct 10 vs Team Spirit), guaranteeing a top-3 finish and two chances at the grand final — the strongest structural position short of the final itself.
- A 4-1 tournament record including a 2-1 win over PARIVISION in the semifinal confirms current form is strong, not a fluke bracket path.
- Yandex is the defending champion (won BLAST Slam VII in June 2026) with a strong listed roster (watson, ATF, Saksa), supporting slight favoritism in any individual series rather than a pure coin flip.
- Countervailing signal: their only loss this event was 2-1 to Team Spirit on Oct 3, who is precisely their upper-bracket final opponent, so the pivotal series is closer to even or mildly unfavorable on head-to-head evidence.
- Time-decay is minimal: the tournament ends Oct 11 and the market closes Oct 13, so nearly all resolution risk is concentrated in the UB final and at most two subsequent series.
What would change it: If Team Spirit won the October 10 upper-bracket final (result not yet retrievable), Yandex's probability drops to roughly 20%, as they would need to win both the lower-bracket final and the grand final.
Settlement sourcet-0235

Polymarket prices this at 93.1%. No verified equivalent is currently listed on the other venue, so there is no cross venue comparison on this page.

Volume over the last 24 hours is active, at about $26,684 on the busier venue.

This market has settled. The page is kept as a record of what the market said while the question was open, and of what Crossbook called.

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