Will Italy win on 2026-09-25?

Crossbook compares what two exchanges, Polymarket and Kalshi, charge for the same event, and publishes a permanent scored record of its own forecasts under published rules.

Settlement equivalence unverified. No eligible price gap is available.

Settled, no longer listedEvent date Fri, 25 Sept 2026, 18:45 UTCLast checked 25 Sept 2026, 18:40 UTC

Bid/ask midpoint · retrieved 2026-09-25T18:40:27.204Z. Venue quote-update time is unavailable. Readings can be asynchronous.

44.5%bid 44.0% / ask 45.0%24h volume $238K · liquidity $577Kas of 25 Sept, 18:40 UTC · not refreshed recentlyView on Polymarket

Bid/ask midpoint · retrieved 2026-09-25T20:20:29.844Z. Venue quote-update time is unavailable. Readings can be asynchronous.

no two-sided marketnobody is quoting both sides, so there is no price to show24h volume $553K · liquidity –as of 25 Sept, 20:20 UTC · not refreshed recentlyView the event containing this market on Kalshi

How each venue defines this

Each exchange's own settlement text, quoted as written. Where they differ, the difference is usually why the prices do.

Settles Sep 25, 26

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 25, 2026 If Italy wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing…

Settles Sep 25, 26

If Italy wins the Italy vs Belgium professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement basis

Settlement equivalence unverified

A person confirmed these two markets ask the same question. Their settlement documents have not been compared, so treat the price difference as unverified rather than as a like for like gap.

This pair was once marked equivalent without the clauses that would show it, so it is shown as unverified until it is reviewed.

Confirmed as the same question: Will Italy win on 2026-09-25?

Crossbook forecast

No public Crossbook forecast on this market yet. Every call that is made is timestamped and scored on the public record, win or lose.

Context

Settlement equivalence unverified. The venue readings below are not ranked as a comparable price gap.

Volume over the last 24 hours is heavy, at about $552,751 on the busier venue. At least one side of this market has no real two sided book, which means the quoted price is closer to a placeholder than to a traded level.

This market has settled. The page is kept as a record of what both venues said while the question was open, and of what Crossbook called.

Related markets

Crossbook publishes every forecast it makes, timestamped before the answer is known and scored against the market afterwards. See the public record and the rules it is held to.