Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Crossbook compares what two exchanges, Polymarket and Kalshi, charge for the same event, and publishes a permanent scored record of its own forecasts under published rules.

Settlement equivalence unverified. No eligible price gap is available.

Past its close dateContract settles 28 Oct 2026Last checked 28 Oct 2026, 03:55 UTC

Data may be delayed. These prices have not refreshed recently, so treat them as a last known reading rather than a current quote.

Bid/ask midpoint · retrieved 2026-10-28T03:55:27.093Z. Venue quote-update time is unavailable. Readings can be asynchronous.

29.7%bid 29.1% / ask 30.3%24h volume $1.2M · liquidity $163Kas of 28 Oct, 03:55 UTC · not refreshed recentlyView on Polymarket

Bid/ask midpoint · retrieved 2026-10-29T20:15:29.414Z. Venue quote-update time is unavailable. Readings can be asynchronous.

25.0%bid 23.0% / ask 27.0%24h volume $779as of 29 Oct, 20:15 UTCView the event containing this market on Kalshi

How each venue defines this

Each exchange's own settlement text, quoted as written. Where they differ, the difference is usually why the prices do.

These two contracts name settlement dates about 18 years apart. Read both terms below for why: a later date can mean a different condition, a longer deadline or an administrative delay, and only the terms say which.

Settles Oct 28, 26

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December…

Settles Jan 1, 45

If the first new person to hold Prime Minister of Israel after Issuance is Gadi Eisenkot, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement equivalence unverified

A person confirmed these two markets ask the same question. Their settlement documents have not been compared, so treat the price difference as unverified rather than as a like for like gap.

Confirmed as the same question: Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Price, last 60 days

Crossbook forecast

No public Crossbook forecast on this market yet. Every call that is made is timestamped and scored on the public record, win or lose.

Settlement equivalence unverified. The venue readings below are not ranked as a comparable price gap.

Volume over the last 24 hours is heavy, at about $1,248,175 on the busier venue.

Related markets

Crossbook publishes every forecast it makes, timestamped before the answer is known and scored against the market afterwards. See the public record and the rules it is held to.