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Seahawks Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5

Crossbook compares what two exchanges, Polymarket and Kalshi, charge for the same event, and publishes a permanent scored record of its own forecasts under published rules.

Tracked on one venue, with Crossbook's own call on the record.

SettledEvent date Thu, 10 Sept 2026, 00:20 UTCLast checked 10 Sept 2026, 00:15 UTC
PM

Bid/ask midpoint · retrieved 2026-09-10T00:15:26.803Z. Venue quote-update time is unavailable. Readings can be asynchronous.

55.0%bid 54.0% / ask 56.0%24h volume $18 · liquidity $2Kas of 10 Sept, 00:15 UTC · not refreshed recentlyView on Polymarket

Price, last 60 days

Crossbook forecast

  • 46.0%against a market price of 56.0% at the timeNO

    Logged 7 Sept 2026, 01:49 UTC · Brier 0.2116

    • Seattle averaged 29 points per game in 2025, which typically translates to around 3 offensive touchdowns per game, pushing the baseline above a league-average team's.
    • However, the Seahawks' rushing attack is significantly weakened: Super Bowl MVP Kenneth Walker III departed in free agency and Zach Charbonnet is out at least four games with a torn ACL, leaving a rookie and George Holani to carry the load.
    • Offensive continuity is disrupted by coordinator Klint Kubiak's departure, with Brian Fleury taking over play-calling for Week 1, adding uncertainty to red-zone efficiency.
    • New England's defense is described as strong against the run with a stellar secondary, which suppresses touchdown expectation for a run-weakened Seattle offense.
    • Seattle being only a 3.5-point home favorite implies a modest team total (roughly mid-20s points), consistent with around 2-3 touchdowns rather than a blowout scoring day.
    • New England's improved offense with A.J. Brown could keep the game competitive, but game script cuts both ways and is a minor factor.

    What would change it: The final injury report showing New England missing key defensive starters, or news that Seattle's new-look offense clicked decisively in preseason, would push this above 0.55; conversely a confirmed low game total (under ~42) would push it toward 0.40.

    Settlement sourcet-0174

Polymarket prices this at 55.0%. No verified equivalent is currently listed on the other venue, so there is no cross venue comparison on this page.

Volume over the last 24 hours is thin, at about $18 on the busier venue.

This market has settled. The page is kept as a record of what the market said while the question was open, and of what Crossbook called.

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