Seahawks Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5
Crossbook compares what two exchanges, Polymarket and Kalshi, charge for the same event, and publishes a permanent scored record of its own forecasts under published rules.
Tracked on one venue, with Crossbook's own call on the record.
Crossbook forecast
- 46.0%against a market price of 56.0% at the timeOpen
Logged 7 Sept 2026, 01:49 UTC
- Seattle averaged 29 points per game in 2025, which typically translates to around 3 offensive touchdowns per game, pushing the baseline above a league-average team's (cites: f4).
- However, the Seahawks' rushing attack is significantly weakened: Super Bowl MVP Kenneth Walker III departed in free agency and Zach Charbonnet is out at least four games with a torn ACL, leaving a rookie and George Holani to carry the load (cites: f5, f6, f7).
- Offensive continuity is disrupted by coordinator Klint Kubiak's departure, with Brian Fleury taking over play-calling for Week 1, adding uncertainty to red-zone efficiency (cites: f8).
- New England's defense is described as strong against the run with a stellar secondary, which suppresses touchdown expectation for a run-weakened Seattle offense (cites: f12).
- Seattle being only a 3.5-point home favorite implies a modest team total (roughly mid-20s points), consistent with around 2-3 touchdowns rather than a blowout scoring day (cites: f10).
- New England's improved offense with A.J. Brown could keep the game competitive, but game script cuts both ways and is a minor factor (cites: f11).
What would change it: The final injury report showing New England missing key defensive starters, or news that Seattle's new-look offense clicked decisively in preseason, would push this above 0.55; conversely a confirmed low game total (under ~42) would push it toward 0.40.
Context
Polymarket prices this at 56%. No verified equivalent is currently listed on the other venue, so there is no cross venue comparison on this page.
It closes in 1 day. Prices this close to resolution move on news rather than on reassessment.
Related markets
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