Saints vs. Giants

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Tracked on one venue, with Crossbook's own call on the record.

SettledEvent date Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTCLast checked 18 Oct 2026, 16:55 UTC

Bid/ask midpoint · retrieved 2026-10-18T16:55:29.298Z. Venue quote-update time is unavailable. Readings can be asynchronous.

50.5%bid 50.0% / ask 51.0%24h volume $166K · liquidity $2.5Mas of 18 Oct, 16:55 UTC · not refreshed recentlyView on Polymarket

Price, last 60 days

Crossbook forecast

46.3%against a market price of 51.5% at the timeYES
Logged 16 Oct 2026, 13:02 UTC · Brier 0.2889
- The Saints (1-4) travel with a rookie quarterback (Tyler Shough, practicing fully) against a better-record Giants team (3-1-1), which fits the road-underdog profile and anchors near a one-third win rate.
- Signal for the Saints: the Giants have four meaningful players who did not practice Wednesday or Thursday — both offensive tackles (Andrew Thomas, Jermaine Eluemunor), edge rusher Abdul Carter, and safety Tyler Nubin — a concentrated injury cluster on the offensive line and pass rush that meaningfully degrades the favorite.
- Signal against the Saints: top receiver Chris Olave missed both practices (illness) and Alvin Kamara was limited with a back injury, weakening their two best offensive weapons, though illness is often short-lived.
- No game-status designations have been issued yet, so all injury adjustments are provisional and could move in either direction by Sunday; this keeps confidence moderate two days out.
- The 17-17 all-time head-to-head and each team's most recent single-game result (Saints 10-point loss, Giants tie) are narrative rather than signal — one comparison is an anchor, not a distribution.
- The venue could not be confirmed from the retrieved facts; the estimate assumes the Saints are the road team as the framing implies, which is the main residual uncertainty.
What would change it: If the final injury report rules out Kamara or Olave while the Giants' tackles return, or the closing line moves the Saints to 6+ point underdogs, the estimate should drop toward 0.30.
Settlement sourcet-0251

Polymarket prices this at 50.5%. No verified equivalent is currently listed on the other venue, so there is no cross venue comparison on this page.

Volume over the last 24 hours is active, at about $166,159 on the busier venue.

This market has settled. The page is kept as a record of what the market said while the question was open, and of what Crossbook called.

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