Howard vs. Indiana: O/U 62.5
Crossbook compares what two exchanges, Polymarket and Kalshi, charge for the same event, and publishes a permanent scored record of its own forecasts under published rules.
Tracked on one venue, with Crossbook's own call on the record.
Bid/ask midpoint · retrieved 2026-09-12T15:55:28.895Z. Venue quote-update time is unavailable. Readings can be asynchronous.
64.0%bid 62.0% / ask 66.0%24h volume $21 · liquidity $5Kas of 12 Sept, 15:55 UTC · not refreshed recentlyView on PolymarketPrice, last 60 days
Crossbook forecast
- 47.0%against a market price of 68.0% at the timeNO
Logged 9 Sept 2026, 03:52 UTC · Brier 0.2209
- The line itself is the main anchor: a 62.5 total implies a near-50% over absent case-specific information, so I start close to even rather than at a round-number lean.
- Howard's two completed games totaled 55 and 49 points, both below 62.5, which is a mild under signal even though those were not against a Big Ten opponent.
- Indiana being 1-0 adds little signal because its score and opponent are not established; that missing offensive read is the biggest source of uncertainty.
- The matchup context supports variance more than direction: first meeting, at Indiana, noon ET, with no retrieved weather, injury, pace, or spread data to justify a strong move away from the anchor.
What would change it: A verified Indiana Week 1 blowout with 45+ points or evidence Howard's defense cannot handle Big Ten tempo would move me over, while evidence Indiana's offense was held under ~24 or key starters are out would move me further under.
Settlement sourcet-0185
Polymarket prices this at 64.0%. No verified equivalent is currently listed on the other venue, so there is no cross venue comparison on this page.
Volume over the last 24 hours is thin, at about $21 on the busier venue.
This market has settled. The page is kept as a record of what the market said while the question was open, and of what Crossbook called.
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