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Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?

Crossbook compares what two exchanges, Polymarket and Kalshi, charge for the same event, and publishes a permanent scored record of its own forecasts under published rules.

Settlement equivalence unverified. No eligible price gap is available.

TradingContract settles 31 Dec 2026Last checked 9 Oct 2026, 19:50 UTC

Data may be delayed. These prices have not refreshed recently, so treat them as a last known reading rather than a current quote.

PM

Bid/ask midpoint · retrieved 2026-10-09T19:50:26.859Z. Venue quote-update time is unavailable. Readings can be asynchronous.

1.0%bid 0.3% / ask 1.8%24h volume $8K · liquidity $37Kas of 9 Oct, 19:50 UTC · not refreshed recentlyView on Polymarket
KS

Bid/ask midpoint · retrieved 2026-10-09T20:00:36.034Z. Venue quote-update time is unavailable. Readings can be asynchronous.

no two-sided marketnobody is quoting both sides, so there is no price to show24h volume $25Kas of 9 Oct, 20:00 UTC · not refreshed recentlyView the event containing this market on Kalshi

How each venue defines this

Each exchange's own settlement text, quoted as written. Where they differ, the difference is usually why the prices do.

These two contracts name settlement dates about 2 years apart. Read both terms below for why: a later date can mean a different condition, a longer deadline or an administrative delay, and only the terms say which.

Settles Dec 31, 26

This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Karoline Leavitt by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market. In the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Once a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will…

Settles Jan 21, 29

If the first new person to become White House Press Secretary after Issuance is Anna Kelly, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement equivalence unverified

A person confirmed these two markets ask the same question. Their settlement documents have not been compared, so treat the price difference as unverified rather than as a like for like gap.

Confirmed as the same question: Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?

Price, last 60 days

Crossbook forecast

No public Crossbook forecast on this market yet. Every call that is made is timestamped and scored on the public record, win or lose.

Settlement equivalence unverified. The venue readings below are not ranked as a comparable price gap.

Volume over the last 24 hours is active, at about $25,066 on the busier venue. At least one side of this market has no real two sided book, which means the quoted price is closer to a placeholder than to a traded level. It closes in about 63 days, which is near enough that a single scheduled event can move it.

Related markets

Crossbook publishes every forecast it makes, timestamped before the answer is known and scored against the market afterwards. See the public record and the rules it is held to.