Will Liz Huston be the next White House Press Secretary?
Crossbook compares what two exchanges, Polymarket and Kalshi, charge for the same event, and publishes a permanent scored record of its own forecasts under published rules.
A confirmed cross-venue pair. Only one side is priced right now.
Data may be delayed. These prices have not refreshed recently, so treat them as a last known reading rather than a current quote.
How each venue defines this
Each exchange's own settlement text, quoted as written. Where they differ, the difference is usually why the prices do.
These two contracts settle about 2 years apart. The venue with the longer window has more time to come good, which moves its price for a reason that is not disagreement.
Settles Dec 31, 26
This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Karoline Leavitt by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market. In the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Once a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will…
Settles Jan 21, 29
If the first new person to become White House Press Secretary after Issuance is Liz Huston, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement basis
A person confirmed these two markets ask the same question. Their settlement documents have not been compared, so treat the price difference as unverified rather than as a like for like gap.
Confirmed as the same question: Will Liz Huston be the next White House Press Secretary?
Crossbook forecast
No public Crossbook forecast on this market yet. Every call that is made is timestamped and scored on the public record, win or lose.
Context
Polymarket and Kalshi agree on this one. Both price it near 1%, so there is no cross venue disagreement to trade and no basis to speak of.
Volume over the last 24 hours is thin, at about $22 on the busier venue. At least one side of this market has no real two sided book, which means the quoted price is closer to a placeholder than to a traded level.
Related markets
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?
- Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?
Crossbook publishes every forecast it makes, timestamped before the answer is known and scored against the market afterwards. See the public record and the rules it is held to.