Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Crossbook compares what two exchanges, Polymarket and Kalshi, charge for the same event, and publishes a permanent scored record of its own forecasts under published rules.
Settlement equivalence unverified. No eligible price gap is available.
Bid/ask midpoint · retrieved 2026-10-29T20:25:28.814Z. Venue quote-update time is unavailable. Readings can be asynchronous.
0.7%bid 0.6% / ask 0.7%24h volume $71K · liquidity $321Kas of 29 Oct, 20:25 UTCView on PolymarketBid/ask midpoint · retrieved 2026-10-29T20:25:28.256Z. Venue quote-update time is unavailable. Readings can be asynchronous.
0.5%bid 0.5% / ask 0.6%24h volume –as of 29 Oct, 20:25 UTCView the event containing this market on KalshiHow each venue defines this
Each exchange's own settlement text, quoted as written. Where they differ, the difference is usually why the prices do.
These two contracts name settlement dates 42 days apart. Read both terms below for why: a later date can mean a different condition, a longer deadline or an administrative delay, and only the terms say which.
Settles Apr 19, 27
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second rou…
Settles May 31, 27
If Dominique de Villepin wins the next French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement basis
Settlement equivalence unverified
A person confirmed these two markets ask the same question. Their settlement documents have not been compared, so treat the price difference as unverified rather than as a like for like gap.
Confirmed as the same question: Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Price, last 60 days
Crossbook forecast
No public Crossbook forecast on this market yet. Every call that is made is timestamped and scored on the public record, win or lose.
Context
Settlement equivalence unverified. The venue readings below are not ranked as a comparable price gap.
Volume over the last 24 hours is active, at about $71,498 on the busier venue.
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