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LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

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Tracked on one venue, with Crossbook's own call on the record.

SettledEvent date Thu, 5 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTCContract settles 6 Nov 2026Last checked 5 Nov 2026, 21:55 UTC
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Bid/ask midpoint · retrieved 2026-11-05T21:55:28.146Z. Venue quote-update time is unavailable. Readings can be asynchronous.

41.5%bid 41.0% / ask 42.0%24h volume $1.1M · liquidity $1.2Mas of 5 Nov, 21:55 UTC · not refreshed recentlyView on Polymarket

Price, last 60 days

Crossbook forecast

  • 46.8%against a market price of 41.5% at the timeNO

    Logged 2 Nov 2026, 17:02 UTC · Brier 0.2186

    • The market is a straight win/loss on a single BO5 between two elite teams, and the facts establish both are credible contenders: Dplus KIA is LCK’s fourth seed while Bilibili Gaming is LPL’s second seed.
    • Recent season-level performance slightly favors Bilibili Gaming on raw consistency, with a 53–14 professional series record versus Dplus KIA’s 17–9 LCK regular-season mark, but the records are not directly comparable across leagues and contexts.
    • Worlds form leans Dplus KIA: DK went 3–0 in Swiss while BLG went 3–2, and DK’s latest pre-quarterfinal result was also a clean 2–0 win.
    • Both teams have already played at Worlds and have listed starting lineups, reducing uncertainty from rust or missing starters, though injury/suspension status could not be fully established.
    • The supplied historical note that one of four 2025 Worlds quarterfinal BO5s went to game five is a weak sample but directionally supports treating this as a competitive playoff spot rather than a mismatch.

    What would change it: A verified last-minute starter absence or a strong sportsbook consensus showing a large BLG/DK edge would materially move the estimate.

    Settlement sourcet-0296

Polymarket prices this at 41.5%. No verified equivalent is currently listed on the other venue, so there is no cross venue comparison on this page.

Volume over the last 24 hours is heavy, at about $1,138,169 on the busier venue.

This market has settled. The page is kept as a record of what the market said while the question was open, and of what Crossbook called.

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